UFC China: Expert Picks Revealed

Get the latest UFC China predictions for the Shanghai Fight Night, including top picks for Walker vs. Zhang and all other bouts. Discover expert insights.

Aug 23, 2025 - 14:19
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UFC China: Expert Picks Revealed
UFC China fight predictions

UFC China: Expert Predictions Unveiled for Shanghai Fight Night

The highly anticipated UFC Fight Night in Shanghai, China, is just around the corner, and expert analysts alongside leading YouTube prediction channels have delivered their comprehensive forecasts for every bout on the card. This in-depth overview compiles the consensus UFC China predictions, offering fight enthusiasts and bettors a detailed look into the expected outcomes, method of victory insights, and surprising potential upsets. From the light heavyweight main event featuring Johnny Walker and Shang Mang to the preliminary card skirmishes, the data points to clear favorites in many encounters, alongside a few intriguing discrepancies between public opinion and oddsmaker sentiment.

Main Event Spotlight: Shang Mang Favored Over Johnny Walker

The main event of UFC Fight Night Shanghai features a light heavyweight clash between Johnny Walker and Shang Mang. Shang Mang emerges as the overwhelming favorite, boasting average odds of minus 350, with Johnny Walker as the underdog at plus 275. The topology community strongly backs Mang, with 93% predicting his victory, and this sentiment is mirrored by YouTube prediction channels, where nearly 97% (56 out of 58 channels) pick him to win. All of the best predictors, best favorite predictors, and best underdog predictors also align with a Shang Mang victory. Notably, the vast majority of these predictions, 41 out of 42 channels, foresee Shang Mang securing a win via KO or TKO, while only one channel predicts a KO or TKO for Johnny Walker.

Co-Main Event: Sterling Poised for Decision Victory

In the featherweight co-main event, Eljain Sterling is a significant favorite against Brian Ortega. Sterling carries average odds of minus 290, with Ortega at plus 230. The topology community shows strong confidence in Sterling with 87% predicting his win, and YouTube prediction channels are even more decisive, with 93% (55 out of 59 channels) picking him. All top predictors, including best favorite and underdog predictors, favor Sterling. A striking majority of channels, 36 out of 40 (90%), predict Sterling will win by decision, with zero channels anticipating a KO or TKO in this fight for either competitor.

Key Bouts and Emerging Trends

Several other fights on the card have garnered significant attention, with a few notable trends emerging. Yisha is the biggest favorite of the entire card, with overwhelming odds of minus 1285 against Weston Wilson (plus 750) in their featherweight bout. An impressive 87% of the topology community and 85% of YouTube channels (45 out of 53) pick Yisha to win. However, a significant divergence exists regarding the method of victory: while most YouTube channels predict a KO or TKO win for Yisha (plus 225 odds), oddsmakers believe a submission win (minus 175 odds) is the most likely outcome.

In the middleweight division, Michelle Pera is a strong favorite (minus 280) against Kyle Darkas (plus 220), with 94.5% of YouTube channels (52 out of 55) and 88% of the topology community picking Pera, predominantly by KO or TKO. Similarly, Tai Lucky Nuraji (minus 455) is a huge favorite in the welterweight division against Kefir Crosby (plus 340), with 94.5% of YouTube channels favoring Nuraji, mostly by KO or TKO. Sergey Pavlovich (minus 240) in the heavyweight division is also a big favorite against Waldo Cortez A Costa (plus 190), with 81% of YouTube channels predicting a KO or TKO victory for Pavlovich.

Underdog Picks and Profitable Opportunities

While favorites dominate the card, some underdogs present intriguing possibilities. Kevin Boras, despite being the underdog at plus 140 against Sumidargi, is actually favored by 61% of the topology community and 53% of YouTube channels (31 out of 58). Crucially, Boras is picked by four out of five best predictors and four out of seven best underdog predictors, indicating potential value.

For those looking for better betting odds, several method-of-victory predictions stand out:

  • Su Yong Yu (slight favorite at minus 135) is picked by 100% of best predictors and best favorite predictors. A decision win for Yu offers better odds at plus 130.
  • Rangu (big favorite at minus 265) is also unanimously picked by best predictors and best favorite predictors. A decision win for Rangu provides significantly better odds at minus 110.
  • Kevin Boras (underdog at plus 140) winning via decision offers odds of plus 270, almost doubling the moneyline return, and is supported by strong underdog predictor confidence.

The Decision Trend: A Common Thread

A recurring theme across numerous fights is the prediction of a decision victory. For instance, Ura Satubald DF (minus 145) is a favorite against Dr Nugashai, with most channels predicting a decision win. Su Yong Yu (minus 135) is also largely expected to win by decision against Shaolong. In the lightweight division, Rangu (minus 265) is heavily favored, with 26 out of 32 channels predicting a decision win against Austin Hubert. Similarly, Lone Kavanaaugh (minus 215) is picked by most channels to win via decision against Charles Johnson. Even in the fight between Mahate and Gay Jong, Gage Jong (minus 130) is favored to win by decision by 15 out of 33 channels.

FAQs

Q1: Who is the biggest favorite at UFC China? A1: Yisha is the card's biggest favorite against Weston Wilson with odds of minus 1285. The topology community and YouTube channels overwhelmingly pick Yisha to win, though there's a split on the method of victory.

Q2: Are there any strong underdog picks for UFC Shanghai? A2: Yes, Kevin Boras stands out as a strong underdog pick. Despite average odds of plus 140, he is favored by the topology community, YouTube channels, and best predictors against Sumidargi.

Q3: What are the main event predictions for Johnny Walker vs. Shang Mang? A3: Shang Mang is the heavy favorite with minus 350 odds, picked by 93% of the topology community and nearly 97% of YouTube channels. Most predictors expect Shang Mang to win by KO or TKO.

Q4: Which fights offer potential value for decision bets? A4: Su Yong Yu winning via decision (plus 130) and Rangu winning via decision (minus 110) are highlighted as profitable opportunities due to strong predictor consensus despite their moneyline odds.

Q5: Is there a discrepancy between oddsmakers and YouTube predictions for any fight? A5: Yes, for the Yisha vs. Weston Wilson fight. While most YouTube channels predict Yisha to win by KO/TKO (plus 225), oddsmakers consider a submission win (minus 175) to be the most likely outcome.

Neeraj Ahlawat Neeraj Ahlawat is an experienced News Editor and Author with over 10 years in journalism and digital media. Throughout his career, he has specialized in news reporting, content editing, and SEO-driven storytelling, ensuring accuracy, credibility, and reader engagement. Currently, he is working with USAGoodTimes.com , where he focuses on delivering high-value, impactful news and analysis tailored for a global audience. With a strong background in editorial leadership, content strategy, and audience growth, Neeraj continues to build his reputation as a trusted voice in modern journalism. 📩 Contact: usagoodtime@gmail.com